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Republicans will win back control of the House of Representatives, Decision Desk HQ projects.
All 435 seats in the House of Representatives were up for grabs in 2022. But fewer than 100 were competitive.
Decision Desk HQ projected on Tuesday that the GOP had won the 218 seats necessary to secure the House majority, but it’s still unclear how large of a majority they’ll preside over once all races are called. Fourteen races are still too close to call.
Democrats overperformed expectations and held several key battleground districts, snuffing out the GOP’s dreams of a red wave. But Republicans, who have flipped control of nine House seats on net as of Tuesday, had success flipping seats in states like Arizona, New York, and Florida.
Given the number of Republican candidates on the ballot who have denied or questioned the validity of the 2020 election, The 19th notes Republican candidates’ positions on whether President Joe Biden legitimately won the 2020 election, based on FiveThirtyEight’s survey of Republicans on the ballot in every state.
Here are live results for 22 key Houses featuring women candidates The 19th is watching:
Democrat Mary Peltola won an August special election to replace the late longtime Rep. Don Young on a “pro-choice and pro-fish” platform, a big win for Democrats in a state that voted for former President Donald Trump by 10 points in 2020. She’s now running for a full term in a ranked-choice election against two Republicans: Sarah Palin, a former governor and 2008 vice presidential nominee, who has fully denied the outcome of the 2020 election, and Nick Begich, who accepts it with some reservations, according to FiveThirtyEight. The results of this race won’t be official for a few weeks: Alaska officials will start reporting results but won’t run ranked-choice tabulations until November 23.
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California’s 27th District
This is the third time Democrat Christy Smith has faced off against Republican Mike Garcia, who won both a special election and the 2020 general election in the Los Angeles-area district. Garcia led Smith by about 10 points in the all-party June primary, but two other Democrats on the ballot got more than 5 percent of the vote each. Garcia has fully denied the outcome of the 2020 election.
Colorado’s 8th District
Colorado gained an eighth House seat, in the suburbs and exurbs north of Denver, after the 2020 Census due to population growth. Democrat Yadira Caraveo, a physician and state representative, beat Republican Barb Kirkmeyer, a state senator who accepts the outcome of the 2020 election and defeated an election denier in the GOP primary. The district, which would have voted for Biden by 4.5 points in 2020, is likely to be Colorado’s most competitive House seat in November.
Connecticut’s 5th District
Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes, a former teacher of the year elected in 2018, is projected to win. She has defeated Republican George Logan, a former state senator, in this Western Connecticut district that voted for Biden by 10 points in 2020. The race got attention from the highest levels of the Democratic Party: Vice President Kamala Harris traveled to the district to appear with Hayes at a reproductive rights roundtable. Logan did not comment on the 2020 election.
- What we’re watching ahead of the midterm elections
- Election 2022 results: Senate races we’re watching
- Election 2022 results: The governor’s races we’re watching
Florida’s 13th District
Republican Anna Paulina Luna defeated Democrat Eric Lynn, flipping this Pinellas County-based seat from Democratic to Republican control. The seat, held by Democrat Charlie Crist, became much more friendly territory for Republicans in redistricting. Luna, a Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran who has denied the validity of the 2020 election, adds to the growing ranks of Latina Republicans seeking to flip seats in states including Florida and Texas.
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Indiana’s 1st District
First-term Democratic Rep. Frank Mrvan will hold on in this Northern Indiana district. It has been represented by a Democrat in Congress for nearly 100 years, since 1931. But this year, the Cook Political Report rated the race as a tossup as Republican Jennifer-Ruth Green, an Air Force veteran, aimed to unseat Mrvan.
Kansas’ 3rd District
Rep. Sharice Davids made history in 2018 as the first out LGBTQ+ person to represent Kansas in Congress and one of the first two Native American women in Congress. She’s won her rematch for a third term against Republican Amanda Adkins, a GOP activist and former state Republican Party chairwoman who lost to Davids by 10 points in 2020. Since then, however, the Eastern Kansas district became more competitive for Republicans, with redistricting taking it from a Biden +10 district to a Biden +4.5 district. Adkins accepts the outcome of the 2020 election.
Michigan’s 7th District
Rep. Elissa Slotkin, one of the star Democratic recruits elected in the 2018 midterms, held on to her seat. She faced off against Republican Tom Barrett, a current state senator who accepts but has raised questions about the validity of the 2020 election.The highly competitive, newly redrawn Lansing-based district would have voted for Biden by just 0.5 points in 2020. Both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the GOP’s Congressional Leadership Fund poured millions of dollars in outside spending into the race. But one prominent Republican, departing Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney, campaigned for Slotkin, the first Democratic candidate she endorsed in the 2022 midterms.
Minnesota’s 2nd District
Democrat Angie Craig again beat Republican veteran Tyler Kistner, who had also challenged her in 2020. Craig in 2018 became the first openly LGBTQ+ person sent to the U.S. House from Minnesota when she won this Twin Cities-area district. Kistner has fully accepted the results of the 2020 election. There’s another, stranger repeat: A third-party pro-marijuana legalization candidate who has died was on the ballot in this tossup race.
Nevada’s 1st District
Democratic Rep. Dina Titus held on in a Las Vegas-area district is a bit redder than when she won it two years ago. Titus first won a spot in the U.S. House in 2012; this year, she faced Republican Mark Robertson, a veteran. Robertson says on his campaign website that “aborting an unborn life is an affront to the Creator,” but that he won’t support a federal abortion ban. Robertson has accepted the results of the 2020 election with reservations.
Nevada’s 3rd District
Democratic incumbent Susie Lee has been reelected in another Las Vegas-area seat. She faced off against Republican April Becker, an attorney who’s backed by House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and has fully denied the results of the 2020 election. Becker opposes abortion with exceptions, she says on her campaign website, “for rape, incest, and life of the mother.” During the campaign, Lee accused her of wanting to pass a national abortion ban, which Becker denied.
New Hampshire’s 1st District
Second-term Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas won reelection against 25-year-old Republican Karoline Leavitt, a former White House press aide and staffer to top House Republican Elise Stefanik. Leavitt has denied the validity of the 2020 election. Leavitt’s loss means Democrat Maxwell Frost of Florida will earn the distinction of being the first member of Generation Z to serve in Congress.
New Mexico’s 2nd District
GOP Rep. Yvette Herrell lost her bid for reelection to Democrat Gabe Vasquez, a former Las Cruces city councilor. The district is bluer than the one Harrell flipped two years ago due to redistricting. Herrell has fully denied the results of the 2020 election.
Ohio’s 9th District
Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur, who won reelection on Tuesday, has held the northwest Ohio seat since 1983, making her the longest-serving woman in the US House. The Republicans’ House campaign arm pulled out of this race after the Associated Press reported that GOP candidate JR Majewski had misrepresented his military service, saying he had deployed to Afghanistan when he had actually been in Qatar with the Air Force. Majewski has fully denied the results of the 2020 election.
Ohio’s 13th District
Democratic state Rep. Emilia Sykes defeated Republican Madison Gesiotto Gilbert, a former Miss Ohio and a campaign surrogate for Trump in 2020, to keep this seat, formerly held by Senate candidate Tim Ryan, in Democratic hands. Gilbert, who has featured her baby, born in September, while working to get out the vote on social media, has largely focused on inflation, while Sykes has focused on abortion access. Gilbert declined to comment to FiveThirtyEight on the 2020 election.
Oregon’s 5th District
Republican Lori Chavez-DeRemer, a former local official, has flipped this district. She beat Democrat Jamie McLeod-Skinner, a progressive lawyer, who beat incumbent Rep. Kurt Schrader in the primary. Chavez-DeRemer has made contradictory statements on abortion but told Oregon Public Broadcasting the issue should be left up to the states. McLeod-Skinner campaigned on addressing climate change and criticized Chavez-DeRemer’s stances on abortion. Chavez-DeRemer has raised questions about the 2020 election results.
Texas’ 15th District
Conservative Monica De La Cruz defeated progressive Michelle Vallejo for this open seat that stretches from east of San Antonio to the Mexican border, flipping it from blue to red. De La Cruz lost to Rep. Vicente Gonzalez in 2020, but he ran for and won in Texas’s 34th, described below, this year. Both parties accused the other’s candidate of being too extreme for the district. De La Cruz has fully denied the results of the 2020 election.
Texas’ 28th District
Longtime Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar, the last remaining anti-abortion Democrat in the House, won another term. He was challenged by Republican Cassandra “Cassy” Garcia in his South Texas district, which became slightly more favorable to Democrats in redistricting. Garcia, a longtime GOP official and former top staffer to Sen. Ted Cruz, was one of several Latina Republicans seeking to flip seats in the Rio Grande Valley in 2022. She declined to comment to FiveThirtyEight on the 2020 election.
Texas’ 34th District
Republican Mayra Flores won a June 2022 special election to the 34th District under its old lines, flipping the seat from Democratic to Republican control. Flores, who has denied the outcome of the 2020 election, lost her bid for a full term in the seat under its new, much bluer lines against incumbent Rep. Vincente Gonzalez, who switched over from the 15th District to run on bluer turf in a district that would have voted for Biden by over 15 points in 2020.
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Virginia’s 2nd District
Democratic Rep. Elaine Luria, an ex-Navy commander elected in 2018, conceded defeat to Republican Jen Kiggans, a Navy veteran and nurse practitioner, in her newly redrawn Virginia Beach-based district, home to a large community of Navy service members and veterans. The seat became considerably more Republican-friendly in redistricting, going from a Biden +4.7 to Biden +1.9 district and placing Luria’s reelection chances in jeopardy. Kiggans accepts the outcome of the 2020 election with reservations.
Washington’s 3rd District
Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, who runs an auto repair shop with her husband and is campaigning on abortion access and support for small business, has won this seat representing southwest Washington state. She beat Republican Joe Kent, a veteran who has criticized military involvement abroad and fully denies the 2020 election. Both emerged from the top-two primary, garnering more votes than Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler, adding her to the list of Republicans who voted to impeach Trump who won’t be back in the next Congress.
Washington’s 8th District
Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier is projected to win this race against Matt Larkin, an attorney whose slogan is “Make crime illegal again.” He was the Republican who emerged from the primary, in which four Republicans combined to just about match Schrier’s vote total. Schrier is a pediatrician who was first elected in 2018 from this central Washington swing district. Larkin has fully accepted the results of the 2020 election.