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Election 2026

Trump-endorsed Republicans set up high-stakes Arizona governor’s race

2026 elections to watch: Once a reliably Republican stronghold, Arizona has emerged as a critical battleground state in the Trump era. 

Karrin Taylor Robson pauses for prayer at a campaign rally.
Republican gubernatorial candidate Karrin Taylor Robson pauses for prayer at a campaign rally on August 1, 2022 in Mesa, Arizona. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Grace Panetta

Political reporter

Published

2025-07-30 09:47
9:47
July 30, 2025
am

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A competitive race for governor is shaping up in Arizona. 

Once a reliably Republican stronghold, Arizona has emerged as a critical battleground state in the Trump era. 

In 2020, Joe Biden narrowly flipped the state to the Democratic column by 10,000 votes. In the 2022 midterms, Democrats won competitive races for U.S. Senate, governor and attorney general, making Arizona a rare state with a slate of Democratic statewide elected officials and a Republican-controlled state legislature. In 2024, Democratic Sen. Ruben Gallego won his seat as President Donald Trump carried the state in the presidential election by over five points. 

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Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs, elected in 2022, said in 2024 that she is “actively raising funds for reelection” but has not yet formally launched a reelection campaign. The Republican primary for Arizona’s governor will draw national attention and spending. Trump has endorsed both Rep. Andy Biggs, a member of the hard-line Freedom Caucus, and Karrin Taylor Robson, an attorney and businessperson who ran in the 2024 Republican primary for U.S. Senate but lost to 2022 Republican gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake, who lost in the general election to Gallego. 

Rep. Andy Biggs is seen at the Capitol.
Republican gubernatorial candidate Rep. Andy Biggs is seen at the Capitol on July 2, 2025. (Francis Chung/POLITICO/AP)

Governors and state legislatures have become increasingly important and visible as the U.S. Supreme Court and Congress have delegated policymaking on abortion, child care, LGBTQ+ rights and more to the states. Arizona has been subject to a back-and-forth whiplash in its abortion laws after the U.S. Supreme Court overturned a federal right to abortion in 2022. In 2024, the legislature repealed a pre-statehood 1864 abortion ban after a court decision temporarily allowed the law to take effect. In the 2024 election, Arizona voters approved a constitutional amendment guaranteeing a right to abortion in the state. 

In all, 36 governorships are up in 2026. Five Democratic-led states won by Trump in 2024 (Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) are holding elections for governor in 2026, while two Republican governors in states won by former Vice President Kamala Harris (New Hampshire and Vermont) are up for reelection.

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